Kuva gukenera kwambuka inyanja "inyuma" gusubira kuri "ubuke bwibicuruzwa", kugeza kumurongo wingenzi wa e-ubucuruzi hamwe nubushakashatsi bwombi, byahindutse inzira nshya yubuzima, ubwiherero bwubwenge buremerwa nabandi kandi imiryango myinshi yabashinwa, igipimo cyinjira mumasoko mumyaka mike ishize kwiyongera vuba.Vuba aha, Goldman Sachs, banki y’ishoramari izwi cyane ku rwego mpuzamahanga, yatanze ubuhanuzi “budasanzwe” ku isoko ry’ubwiherero bw’Ubushinwa, yizera ko umubare w’abinjira muri iki cyiciro ku isoko ry’Ubushinwa mu myaka ine iri imbere uziyongera kugera kuri 11%, ibyo bikaba bihwanye na birenze gukuba kabiri ubushobozi bwisoko.None, igipimo cyubwiherero bwubwenge cyihuta nkuko Goldman Sachs yabihanuye?Iyo isoko igereranyo cyibiciro byamanutse byagaragaye, gukundwa kwiterambere ryinshi bifitanye isano nibi?Ejo hazaza, murwego rwo kwaguka byihuse, isoko ryubwiherero bwubwenge, haracyari ibibazo nibibazo byububabare byakemuka?
Nk’uko Goldman Sachs abitangaza ngo ubwiherero bw’ubwenge bugiye kwakirwa n’umuco w’Abashinwa, kandi icyiciro cy’abinjira mu Bushinwa kizava kuri 4% mu 2022 kigere kuri 11% mu 2026, ubwo amafaranga yinjira mu nganda z’ibikoresho by’isuku mu Bushinwa azagera kuri miliyari 21 z'amadolari kuri umwaka.Tuvugishije ukuri, hamwe n’abaguzi bashishikajwe n’ubuzima bwo mu rugo mu myaka mike ishize, ubwiherero bw’ubwenge bwateye imbere ku isoko ry’Ubushinwa, ndetse no mu bucuruzi bwa e-bucuruzi, urugero, nk’uko amakuru ya CICOM ya GfK abitangaza, CAGR y’ubwiherero bw’ubwenge guhera mu 2017 kugeza 2022 byari 32%, kandi kwinjiza isoko kuri ubu byazamutse kugera kuri 4% -5%.Ariko, kumera nka Goldman Sachs yabihanuye, mumyaka itarenze 4 iri imbere, igipimo cyinjira mumasoko kuva ubu kiri munsi ya 5% kugeza 11%, nubwo hariho umwanya wo gutekereza, ariko kandi biragoye.
Kuri iki kibazo kimwe, umunyamakuru w’igihugu cy’Ubushinwa yagishije inama ibigo byinshi by’ubwiherero bw’ubwiherero bw’ubwenge, abasesenguzi b’inganda, bagaragaje ko bafite icyizere ku iterambere ry’isoko ry’ubwiherero bw’ubwenge mu myaka mike iri imbere, ariko bakurikije intego, na bo ntukemere ko igipimo cyubwiherero bwubwenge kizinjira vuba mumyaka ine iri imbere.Ushinzwe isesengura rikuru rya GfK, Xiaolei Ha yagize ati: "Ku ruhande rumwe, hamwe n’iterambere ryihuse ry’ubukungu bw’Ubushinwa, umuturage yinjiza umuturage umuturage akomeje kwiyongera mu kuzamura ibicuruzwa ndetse n’igipimo cy’imijyi gikomeje gutera imbere kugira ngo habeho kuzamura ubwiherero bw’ubwenge". hanze kubisesengura byabanyamakuru ba leta.Ku rundi ruhande, Ubushinwa bufite imidugudu myinshi n’amasoko yo mu cyaro, nyirubwiherero bwayo bwo hasi ni buke cyane, kandi uburezi bw’ubuzima n’ibindi bisigaye inyuma, bigira ingaruka ku gipimo cy’ibicuruzwa by’ibikoresho by’isuku bifite ubwenge bigereranywa n’umusarani ufite ubwenge.Byongeye kandi, isoko ry’imitungo itimukanwa ry’Ubushinwa riri mu gihirahiro, kuva iheruka gusohora ibigo byinshi byashyizwe ku rutonde rw’ibikoresho by’isuku muri raporo y’umwaka ushize, bitewe n’ingaruka z’imikorere y’isoko ry’imitungo y’Ubushinwa kubera igitutu, kugurisha ubucuruzi n’inyungu byagabanutse. .
Imyaka 4 yikubye kabiri ubwiyongere bwikigereranyo cyo kwinjira ntabwo bigaragara ko bidashoboka, ariko ahantu harehare h’inganda zubwiherero bwubwenge, urubura rwinshi ntirushobora kwirengagizwa.Ubucuruzi bwibikoresho byo guturamo bya Panasonic BU ndende Ren Shao Yang umunyamakuru wa gride yigihugu yavuze ko, tubikesha urwego rwo hejuru n’urwego rwo hasi rw’inganda rwateye imbere buhoro buhoro, guhindura imitekerereze y’abaguzi (ubuzima, kugena ibicuruzwa, kwiyongera kw’ubwenge), ndetse no guhindura imiyoboro itandukanye (kubaka hakiri kare ku murongo wa interineti) ibikoresho kuri uyumunsi kumurongo wibicuruzwa byinshi kumurongo, hanyuma buhoro buhoro bihinduka imbere-impera yimbere-yimbere yimbere yabashushanya hamwe nisosiyete ishushanya imitako, ibikubiye mumiyoboro yitumanaho no gutandukana) nibindi byinshi byiza, ibikurikira 3- Imyaka 5, imyaka 3-5 iri imbere, inganda zubwiherero bwubwenge ziracyari ahantu harehare h’urubura.Ibintu byiza, imyaka 3-5 iri imbere umusarani wubwenge mukigereranyo cyubwiyongere bwisoko ryimbere mu gihugu, igipimo cyinjira kizakomeza iterambere ryihuse.Ren Shaoyang yagize ati: "Ubwoko butandukanye bw'umuyaga mu nganda zitanga ibikoresho."
Yakomeje agira ati: “Mu myaka yashize, Ubushinwa hagati y’abaciriritse n'abinjiza amafaranga menshi kandi binjiza amafaranga menshi bakomeje kwiyongera cyane, kuzamura ibicuruzwa, ubuzima, ubumenyi bw’ikoranabuhanga byahindutse icyerekezo nyamukuru cyo guhitamo abaguzi, abaguzi mu iterambere ry’ibyemezo by’ubuguzi baribanda cyane. ubuziranenge n'imikorere.Ikubiye mu bicuruzwa byo mu musarani, ugereranije n’ubwiherero gakondo, ubwiherero bw’ubwenge, ubworoherane n’imiterere y’ubuzima biragenda byamenyekana kandi bikagirirwa icyizere n’abaguzi ”, perezida w’ibikorwa by’amatsinda y’abapasitori Lin Xiaowei na we yaganiriye n’umunyamakuru, iterambere ry’imbere na hagati- abantu binjiza hamwe nimpinduka mumikoreshereze yimikoreshereze yabakoresha, hamwe nubusaza bwihuse, kuzamura imiterere yabaguzi no mumijyi bikomeje guteza imbere ihinduka ryubwiherero rusange, amazu yubuforomo, amazu manini manini manini hamwe ninyubako zo mu biro byo hejuru, ibyinshi mubiciriritse na amahoteri yo mu rwego rwo hejuru hamwe n’ahantu hahurira abantu benshi batangiye gusimbuza umusarani ufite ubwenge.Muri icyo gihe, kubera ko abaturage bo mu Bushinwa bageze mu za bukuru bagenda barushaho kwiyongera, kandi 90% by'abageze mu zabukuru bakurikiza uburyo bwo gusaza mu rugo, “impinduka ikwiranye n'imyaka” y'ubuzima bwo mu rugo iba nkenerwa.These Ibintu byose byagize uruhare mubwiherero bwubwenge muriki cyiciro kandi igihe gikurikiraho kumasoko yimbere mu gihugu kizakomeza iterambere ryinshi.Birumvikana, wongeyeho, "impuzandengo yikigereranyo kumanuka" iki gikoresho ntigikwiye kwirengagizwa.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Ugushyingo-13-2023
